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Debt Crisis Guide: It's about "Return of Capital" not "Return on Capital"

Summary & Conclusion

Investors had better get used to extremely difficult UK and Global market conditions and a new definition of risk, since the corrective process that is underway will take many years. We believe that those who can successfully navigate the numerous market perils and maintain their purchasing power will eventually be in a position to pick up distressed assets very cheaply.

Safe havens that could help investors protect their wealth will be gold, high-quality stocks with sustainable cash flow that pay a dividend and potentially the currencies of nations that benefit from their natural resources.

Potential pitfalls that could be avoided include exposure to the broad stock market indices, overvalued property markets, debt instruments such as bonds which may not be as credit worthy as they appear, and banks/ financial institutions as a consequence of counter-party risk and stretched balance sheets.

From Boom to Bust: How We Got Here

Between 1988 and 2007 the world experienced a huge economic boom. During this period the price of stocks, commodities, bonds and property all rose to historic levels.

As a result, many of us felt wealthier and enjoyed a luxurious lifestyle of new cars, second homes and increased consumption. Much of this affluence however was created by massive increases in public spending and private borrowing and not as a result of prudent investment in productive assets. Read more...

In The Current Issue: January 2012

Peak Oil Revisited: How To Profit From This Key Macroeconomic Story

Over the past 100 years mankind has become increasingly dependent upon cheap and ever growing supplies of energy, most notably oil. However since oil is a finite resource, its rate of production cannot be increased indefinitely and at some point the rate at which oil is produced will begin to decline. This moment is referred to as 'peak oil'.

Conventional wisdom holds that the peak in world oil production will occur many years in the future allowing a timely transition to alternatives sources of energy. However a great deal of new evidence suggests that peak oil will occur as early as 2013, and even if the actual peak is still a decade away, it is expected that severe supply constraints will bring about considerably higher oil prices in the months and years ahead.

Peak oil is one of the most significant macro economic stories out there, and not only will it have profound long-term economic and social consequences, but it also creates some excellent opportunities for investors.

Also in this issue...

  • Big Picture: Sovereign Debt Crisis - A Possible Way Forward
  • Company Spotlight: A Company That Make Natural Gas Into Oil
  • Notable Quotes - My thoughts on what the experts are saying
  • Charts: The Transfer Of Wealth From Paper To Gold Continues
  • News: A selection of the month's financial news stories
  • Anecdote: How A Bull Market Will Bail You Out
  • Best of Blog: A selection of stories from my blog
  • The Mountain Investor Report Model Portfolio

Subscribe now to receive the current issue plus all the back issues as far back as August 2010.

Coming soon in the Mountain Investor Report

  • Forecast & Predictions For 2012
  • Austrian vs. Keynesian Economic Philosophies
  • Portfolio Superstars: The stars of 2012 and beyond.
  • Right Thesis, Wrong Execution: Why being right isn't always enough.
  • The forgotten depression and what we can learn from it.
  • Black swans, bubbles & other potential time bombs investors need to avoid.
  • A Company exploring and developing of oil and natural gas prospects in New Zealand.
  • A global renewable energy company engaged in both geothermal and hydro power generation.
  • Future Investment Trends: Bio-Engineering

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Full Paid Version   January 2011 [PDF]
The Mountain Investor Blog
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Free Property Report

Where Next For UK Property Prices?

London town houseThis free report examines those factors that contribute to the future direction of property prices including: How property prices are measured, Predictions from various experts, The supply and demand situation, Affordability, Bank lending and mortgage deals and Interest rates and the impact of their inevitable rise. Get the report now...

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